It began last November: Virginia and New Jersey–two states that had gone for Obama in 2008–and then spread to the most liberal of all states, Massachusetts, with the Tea Party break-out victory of Scott Brown in January.

Ten days ago it went to Utah and took out a senior U.S. GOP Senator. In Florida is dislodged a sitting GOP Governor.

Yesterday it spread to Pennsylvania and Kentucky.

“It” is the largest manifestation of Americans’ unhappiness with the Political Establishment–perhaps ever in American history.

Yesterday’s rejection of turn-coat Senator Arlen Specter is a wonderful spectacle; it is a repudiation of Obama and his sleazy deal to entice the equally sleazy Specter to jump from the GOP. It is also a strong statement that switching parties is a bad political move because neither side ever trusts or likes you anymore.

It is a surprise that the Democrats kept the Murtha seat. That is the one result that goes against the Tea Party trends on 2009-2010. But even that Democrat is a conservative Democrat more in tune with Republicans than the Pelosi Democrats.

Conclusion: this ongoing Political Revolution is against the Establishment of both political parties.

It is the single most heartening and optimistic political development in decades.

Washington DC needs to be swept clean of the corrupt thinking that has created a gigantic chasm between the people and the government that is supposed to work for them.

Overall, Tuesday was a huge step away from Obama and his Lurch to the Left.

Virginia was a total blow-out in a state in which Obama won a year ago; by a 60-40 margin, the GOP re-took all the state-wide offices. A huge—huge step back to the Right.

New Jersey was a definitive rejection of Jon Corzine and Barack Obama—no matter what the liberal so-called experts say. Obama threw in with Corzine—and they got creamed.

Here in New York State—with a moribund state GOP—we have won back local offices and county legislatures. It is a good sign—especially in a blue state.

The only negative from Tuesday was the loss of the 23rd Congressional District for the first time in over a century. That loss occurred because the GOP and the Conservative Party disagreed over the nominee—something that should not happen. We Republicans and conservatives need to be on the same page in unison against the Left!

What impact will these off-off-year elections have nationally?

You can bet that moderate and conservative Democrats in the House and Senate are going to now back away even more from Obama, Harry Reid and Nancy Pelosi—especially on health care. That bill may never pass the Senate now.

Nervousness abounds now that the Left might drag the Democrats over the cliff in 2010 the same way G.W. Bush took the GOP over the cliff in 2006 and 2008.

Yesterday is a sign that voters are worried to death over the economy and job—and they have no confidence that Obamanomics is the answer.

The GOP and Conservative Movement now needs to do more than just oppose Obama. They/we need to tell the American people how we would solve these vexing economic problems.

More analysis in a day or so.

There are three crucial races on Tuesday - in this year’s off-off-year elections.

The GOP and/or conservative movement will win all three—in a rejection of Obama-nomics, massive government debt and deficit spending, and the Lurch to the Left in Washington:

1) Virginia: this race is over. The GOP re-captures the Governor’s office. Obama has been in there for Deeds, the Democrat, and it hasn’t helped. Part of the problem is Obama himself, but most is Deeds’ fault. He is an inarticulate candidate.

2) New Jersey: a blue state with a Democrat incumbent, Jon Corzine, who has had a bad record on spending, taxes and jobs as Governor. Obama has gone “all in” for Obama: the White House Political Office conference calls daily with Corzine’s staff; Obama has made five trips into New Jersey.

Indeed, this race will be interpreted as a measure of Obama’s political muscle. Can Obama “save” Corzine? Or is he actually hurting Corzine?

Prediction: Chris Christie is a weak candidate who has run a non-existent campaign. But he will win anyway by 2 points as Corzine is terminal.

3) New York’s 23rd Congressional District: what a race this is/was! An open seat, held forever by the GOP. This time there was a weak—and liberal—GOP woman; a Conservative Party nominee with support and funding; and a typical squishy Democrat.

The liberal GOP woman, Dede Scozzafaza, dropped out of the race three days before Election Day and then endorsed the Democrat!

What a total disaster she is. Hopefully the GOP will not allow her to remain a Republican in the New York State assembly.

Smelling blood, Joe Biden is coming into the district on Monday for the Democrat. Tons of Congressional Democrats and even the White House have entered the race at the last minute.

Prediction: Hoffman, the Conservative Party nominee, will win by 5 points.


Overall, it will be a bad day for Obama, the Democrats and the Left.

Even the so-called Mainstream Media will be forced to admit that Obama—and liberalism—was rejected in these races.

Will be back on Wednesday with an After-Action Re-Cap.

Listen to John’s 11/2/09 appearance on KION 1460's “Mark & Jim Show”:
Mark & Jim Show 11 02 09 by bootsblasts

August is here. Vacation time world-wide. Congress goes home; the President goes to Martha’s Vineyard, vacation playground of the Left.

Where are we—as a country—politically?

The Obama Honeymoon is most definitely over. His poll numbers continue to deteriorate. His opposition has firmed up—but more disturbing for Team Obama are defectors from the Obama column last fall. Indeed, the Washington Post just ran a story about Virginia voters who voted for Obama but now regret it. These voters say things like, “I thought he was going to be different… a real change… but he has turned out to be just like all the rest of the politicians favoring the special interests.” These voters say they will vote for the GOP candidate for Governor this November.

We now know our new President. Obama is a typical “tax and spend” liberal Democrat who just throws money at a problem. The Cash for Clunkers in just such an example. While the idea makes some sense, the follow-through is poor and the result is the unintended consequence of causing foreign cars to be purchased at the expense of (our) GM cars, which we the taxpayers now own. Plus a lot of good car parts are needlessly being destroyed.

Health Care: The anti-Obama campaign has crystallized in the debate over this issue. The anger seen at Town Hall meetings is indeed indicative of the over-50% of the people who do not want the “public option”—which is code for nationalized health care. Obama knew he had to get this voted on before the August recess in order to dupe the American people. Well, he couldn’t get it done. And now it looks as though this crucial aspect—the Public Option—may not make it through the Democratic Congress.

However, to save face there will be a Health Care bill of some sort this fall—with a big celebratory signing ceremony. But this will not be what the Left set out to implement.

The political cost of this Health Care fight will indeed be heavy for the Democrats. Some will lose their seats next year because of it—but probably not enough to flip Congress back to the GOP.

Speaking of the Republicans: 2009 will be a good year for them away from DC. They will win the Governorship of New Jersey—almost definitely—as the incumbent, Jon Corzine, is mired at the mid-30’s in the polls. He appears to be terminal. And Virginia is fluid, with a real chance for the Republican to win there, too.

Nationally, however, the GOP has a long, long way to go to erase the Bush Taint. As of last week, 54% of voters still blame the rotten economy on Bush. Until he is a distant memory—and until the GOP has new faces and a better, more likeable image—we will continue to be irrelevant.

Teddy Kennedy is deteriorating and may soon die. Look for major TV coverage as the “last Kennedy brother” is memorialized.

August is almost always the month of the ‘political surprise’—some unexpected event that takes the White House by surprise. With officials scattered far and wide either on break or junketing at taxpayers’ expense, the political world always seems to get caught unprepared. (Remember Saddam Hussein’s Kuwait invasion?)

So be prepared!

California and New Jersey. These two states used to hold their presidential primaries on the first Tuesday of June—the last primaries in a grueling, long process that began in the snowy cold of Iowa in January. Depleted, exhausted candidates had to criss-cross the nation for a week and advertise in the huge media markets of Los Angeles and New York, San Francisco and Philadelphia.

All of that is changed now. The presidential nominations are pretty much decided earlier—and these two states have moved “up” in the primary calendar.

But California and New Jersey may still be influencing and predicting our political future. Here’s how:

For almost 40 years California has been a ‘predictor’ for trends that would soon sweep the nation. The grass-roots tax revolt of the 1970’s began through referenda in California. It changed America. For the better. It re-energized an almost-dead GOP; launched Ronald Reagan on his journey to the White House; and subsequent referenda allowed the people to tell their politicians what to do—not the other way around.

However, since the mid-1990’s California’s trends have been all negative: a massive influx of illegals from south of the border coupled with a flight of middle class workers and tax-payers to neighboring states (Oregon, Washington, Nevada and Arizona). This trend—coupled with unrestrained government spending and debt in Sacramento—has brought the state to the verge of bankruptcy. It has also destroyed two successive governorships—Democrat Gray Davis and one-time GOP icon Arnold The Terminator Schwarzenegger.

These disturbing trends—massive government spending at a time when the tax base is declining thus causing huge debt—is what we are now seeing in DC!

Is this the latest national trend predicted by California?

And if it is what does this tell us about Obama, the Democrats, the GOP - and 2012?

Across the nation - in the Garden State - we have another state government over-spending and over-taxing under a liberal Democrat stranglehold on the levers of power in Trenton. Governor Jon Cozine is in deep, deep political trouble as he runs this year for re-election. His numbers are under 40% - terrible for an incumbent- and the GOP is re-energized after being out of power for ten years.

They have just nominated former U.S. Attorney Chris Christie who—correctly—is trying to focus on economic issues instead of social issues in the otherwise-liberal-blue-state-New Jersey.

Corzine is personally rich and will now set out to destroy Christie and try to paint him with a “he’s an out of the mainstream right wing nut” campaign.

If Christie can side-step that pathetic diversionary tactic by a desperate Corzine, he can win in a solid Democrat state.

And if he does—will this concentrate-on-the-economic-issues-and-massive-government-over-spending strategy become the new trend that sweeps the nation?

Let us hope and pray!