Last week’s two monumental Supreme Court decisions – upholding ObamaCare and striking down almost all of the Arizona immigration law – have only further alienated a majority of Americans from the DC Establishment and deepened the underlying gloomy sense that the nation is careening into unknown territory.

A stagnant economy, poor job prospects and two major parties that seem to talk past most people have deeply soured many Americans; pessimism has replaced the normal inherent American sense of optimism.

This is the mood as we enter the final four months of the presidential and congressional campaigns.

A few points:

• If Mitt Romney or Barack Obama talked to the nation – in a mature, presidential manner – and offered a realistic path to recovery, that candidate would win the election;

• Either one could do it – but they’d need to do something out of character for them:

• Obama ought to admit he has over-reached and gone too far as President…show some humility for once in his life…he’d shoot up in the polls – especially among Independents if he did this…

• Romney ought to tell the truth: the mess we are in today is the fault of both parties – the GW Bush-led GOP and the Obama-Pelosi-Reid-led Democrats…by admitting his party is also at fault, he’d earn the respect – and votes – of a many of the key swing Independent voters…

• Romney needs to stop playing the short-term tactical game of just staying close to Obama and then hoping the that bad economy and the GOP Convention “bounce” will propel him past Obama for the home stretch.

• Instead, he needs to think Big…and go High…high above the petty politics and attack-attack-attack mentality…instead, give us the newer version of a City on a Hill…make Americans feel good again about being an American…

• There has to be a sense that better days are ahead…not just “if you stick with the other guy things are going to continue to be bad…”

• American voters are looking to be saved from the mess we are in;

• In 2008 Obama was seen by many as so out-of-the-box – and different from the Establishment politicians we are all so sick of - that he was seen as the Savior; of course, we now see he is in reality just another hack politician;

• Can Romney be seen as a savior? Can he be The Anti-Establishment candidate we so crave?

• Or is he so damaged by his lack-of-conviction, flip-flopping past that he cannot convince voters that he is the man to turn the country to a new and successful direction?

• And if he wants to be seen as this savior, what exactly is the direction he wants to lead us?

These are the questions that will determine who wins on November 6th.

What effect will the Supreme Court’s stunning ObamaCare decision have on the Presidential - and - Senate elections this November? Can Romney and Republican Senate candidates harness this controversial issue to take over Washington and repeal this bill in 2013?

This – and much more – will be discussed by the CAMPAIGN INSIDERS – Pat Caddell, John LeBoutillier and Ed Rollins (filling in for Doug Schoen this week) – live - on Fox News Channel this Sunday afternoon – at 5:25 PM ET.

CAMPAIGN INSIDERS is the only show or segment anywhere on TV that features people who have actually run campaigns and done politics for a living.

So tune into the Fox News Channel at 5:25 PM ET on Sunday and watch CAMPAIGN INSIDERS.

Then on Monday morning at 10:30 AM ET – yes, a new time for us - you can see another, full 30-minute live version of CAMPAIGN INSIDERS by going to http://live.foxnews.com/ - with an inside look at the presidential campaign and the week ahead.

And you can read more political analysis at www.johnlebout.com

Has President Obama’s unilateral decision to allow young illegal immigrants to stay here altered the presidential race? Is Romney now on the defensive? And what of the Rubio isn’t – no, he is – being vetted for the Veep slot back-and-forth this week? What does this tell us about Team Romney?

This – and much more – will be discussed by the CAMPAIGN INSIDERS – Pat Caddell, Doug Schoen and John LeBoutillier – live - on Fox News Channel this Sunday afternoon – at 5:25 PM ET.

CAMPAIGN INSIDERS is the only show or segment anywhere on TV that features people who have actually run campaigns and done politics for a living.

So tune into the Fox News Channel at 5:25 PM ET on Sunday and watch CAMPAIGN INSIDERS.
Then on Monday morning at 10:30 AM ET – yes, a new time for us - you can see another, full 30-minute live version of CAMPAIGN INSIDERS by going to http://live.foxnews.com/ - with an inside look at the presidential campaign and the week ahead.

And you can read more political analysis at www.johnlebout.com

Is President Obama’s unilateral decision to allow young illegal immigrants to stay here a blatant political move that will help him – or backfire on him? What of the dueling – and harshly negative – economic speeches by the President and Governor Romney in Ohio this week? Why are they both so opposed to showing us their vision of how to fix the economy? Do they even have a vision?




This – and much more – will be discussed by the CAMPAIGN INSIDERS – Pat Caddell, Doug Schoen and John LeBoutillier – live - on Fox News Channel this Sunday afternoon – at 5:25 PM ET.



CAMPAIGN INSIDERS is the only show or segment anywhere on TV that features people who have actually run campaigns and done politics for a living.



So tune into the Fox News Channel at 5:25 PM ET on Sunday and watch CAMPAIGN INSIDERS.



Then on Monday morning at 10:30 AM ET – yes, a new time for us - you can see another, full 30-minute live version of CAMPAIGN INSIDERS by going to http://live.foxnews.com/ - with an inside look at the presidential campaign and the week ahead.



And you can read more political analysis at www.johnlebout.com

Is former President Bill Clinton trying to help – or hurt – President Obama’s reelection chances? How important for the presidential election was Tuesday’s Wisconsin recall? And is the Electoral College math now moving toward Mitt Romney?

This – and much more – will be discussed by the CAMPAIGN INSIDERS – Pat Caddell, Doug Schoen and John LeBoutillier – live - on Fox News Channel this Sunday afternoon – at 5:25 PM ET.

CAMPAIGN INSIDERS is the only show or segment anywhere on TV that features people who have actually run campaigns and done politics for a living.

So tune into the Fox News Channel at 5:25 PM ET on Sunday and watch CAMPAIGN INSIDERS.
Then on Monday morning at 10:30 AM ET – yes, a new time for us - you can see another, full 30-minute live version of CAMPAIGN INSIDERS by going to http://live.foxnews.com/ - with an inside look at the presidential campaign and the week ahead.

And you can read more political analysis at www.johnlebout.com

Last week’s devastatingly bad jobs report - especially including the downward revisions for the March and April numbers as well as the downward measurement of first quarter GDP to 1.5% - will now fundamentally alter the remaining five months of the 2012 presidential and congressional elections.

President Obama is now doomed to follow in the footsteps of Jimmy Carter and George H.W. Bush as failed presidents who get swept out of office primarily because the economy was in a downward spiral when their re-election came about.

Soon – within weeks – Mitt Romney will begin to move ahead of President Obama in some of the public polls.

And, similarly, in state polls in the dozen swing battleground states he will close the already-shrinking gap. The result will be a virtual tie inside the Electoral College before the conventions at the end of August and early September.

But all the momentum now belongs to Romney. The jobs report coupled with the anti-Democrat, anti-union blow-out in Wisconsin has put wind back into the GOP’s sails – and deflated Obama.

There is not one piece of good news for Obama to hang his hat on. He is on the defensive. His own fellow Dems – i.e. Clinton, Booker, Rendell and Governor Patrick – have all defended Romney’s record at Bain and thus stripped Obama of that line of attack.

Team Obama has fired all their anti-Romney bullets in the spring, when fewer voters are paying attention. What are they going to do and say in September and October?

And that pathetic David Axelrod speech in front of the State House in Boston was an example of what a political consultant should not do. He made the Obama campaign the laughing stock of the political world.

So, all in all, this indeed is shaping up to be Mitt Romney’s election to lose.

And Romney has proven to be a mixed bag as a candidate. On the one hand, he is indeed tenacious and tries to keep the focus on the economy and jobs.

But he still is the same candidate who does incredibly stupid things like offering to bet Rick Perry “ten thousand dollars” during a debate last fall and parking some of his money is Swiss and Cayman bank accounts – a head-scratching political disaster in most elections.

These are the types of things that can reinforce the Gordon Gekko image that Team Obama wants to pin on Romney all the way to November.

However, Romney has a lot going for him – mostly the deteriorating economy and the threat from Europe and China of an even bigger world slow-down. Plus, the thought of four more years like the ones we have just had is impossible to fathom.

So, unless he screws it all up, he can and should win in November.

How much is President Obama’s re-election campaign damaged by the new 8.2% unemployment rate? Is the Electoral College math now moving toward Mitt Romney? And how important is Tuesday’s Wisconsin recall election for November?

This – and much more – will be discussed by the CAMPAIGN INSIDERS – Pat Caddell, Doug Schoen and John LeBoutillier – live - on Fox News Channel this Sunday afternoon – at 5:25 PM ET.

CAMPAIGN INSIDERS is the only show or segment anywhere on TV that features people who have actually run campaigns and done politics for a living.

So tune into the Fox News Channel at 5:25 PM ET on Sunday and watch CAMPAIGN INSIDERS.

Then on Monday morning at 10:30 AM ET – yes, a new time for us - you can see another, full 30-minute live version of CAMPAIGN INSIDERS by going to http://live.foxnews.com/ - with an inside look at the presidential campaign and the week ahead.

And you can read more political analysis at www.johnlebout.com